Crypto 101: The Wedge Pattern

Bitcoin also recently fell off a rising wedge that had been forming since the first week of September. The breakout level of around $52,900 pushed BTC off a cliff to the $45,380 level after a mild protest of the bulls near the resistance. Wedges are not a rare sight and can be expected to be formed regularly. Moreover, they are relatively easier to study and reasonably accurate in their signals.

crypto falling wedge

If the crypto closes the trading day near its opening price, it will print a doji candlestick, which could indicate a reversal to the upside is in the cards. If the crypto breaks up bullishly from the pattern, the measured move is about 40%, which indicates Dogecoin could reach the 20-cent mark. As with its ascending counterpart, the target is equal to the widest swing inside the formation transferred from the breakout point downward. Experienced traders wait for the significant upward breakout backed with a much bigger volume to take a position, as breakouts without inflated volume can catch traders in a bull-trap . After the first price stagnation , when the price reaches a new high , it is still possible that the bulls will take the price even higher.

How to trade rising and falling wedge patterns?

While things are looking up for price, a lack of buying pressure could undo a perfectly fine falling wedge breakout. A daily candlestick close below $0.108 will flip this support level into a resistance barrier, invalidating the bullish thesis. In March 2021, when Bitcoin was trading around $58,900, Patrick Heusser observed an ascending wedge that was still converging. He predicted that the uptrend might be coming to an end, resulting in a downward breakout. As expected, Bitcoin plunged below the $54,000 mark in the week that followed, eventually crashing by nearly 14% to touch the $50,950 level.

crypto falling wedge

It’s also possible for more experienced traders to misread certain trends for wedge patterns. The best way to identify any pattern and a common rule of thumb, especially for wedges, is to let the price peaks and troughs touch the pattern’s resistance and support lines at least three times. This ensures enough testing of the support and resistance lines before the trend is confirmed. Today we are looking at another chart pattern RISING AND FALLING WEDGES . Just to refresh your memory, continuation patterns are formations that show side way price action, signalling a temporary pause in the trend; whereas reversal patterns indicate a change in the… The falling wedge pattern should be defined with two trend lines connecting a series of lower lows and lower highs.

Wedges are a perfect representation of something that has moved too far too fast. Paying attention to volume figures is really important at this stage. The continuous trend of a decreasing volume is significant as it tells us that the buyers, who are still in control despite the pull back, are not investing much resources yet. No matter your experience level, download our free trading guides and develop your skills. The ideal stop-loss approach is to set the limit below the near-term swing low with some buffer. While using this pattern to initiate a trade, additional confirmation is required when opening a trade.

One of the most common chart patterns is the rising or falling wedge. Tag along as we unpack the meaning of this chart pattern and explain how to spot it and use it to make better trades and investments. The falling wedge pattern occurs when the asset’s price is moving in an overall bullish trend before the price action corrects lower. Within this pull back, two converging trend lines are drawn. The consolidation part ends when the price action bursts through the upper trend line, or wedge’s resistance. In this new series, we will learn some of the basic chart patterns and terminologies that can help us in our technical analysis before we venture into trading a particular crypto asset.

Use Wedge Patterns to determine where to place stop losses

Although there are a variety of factors that influence the price of a cryptocurrency in a positive or negative way, such as reaching milestones, partnership signings, hacker attacks, new regulations, etc. Using this information in combination with other methods, such as trend detection, means that it is highly beneficial to master the technical analysis. But an upside breakout needs what does a falling wedge indicate a higher volume than what we’re seeing right now for BTC. In fact, the few other bullish reversal patterns that have shown up recently had no momentum and were invalidated. A falling wedge typically forms during a downtrend and signals that sellers are losing steam and that a bullish reversal may be on the horizon. First of all, I want you to take a look at the volume indicator.

When combined with the rising wedge pattern, it makes a significant pattern that indicates a shift in the direction of the trend. Generally, a falling wedge is seen as a reversal, though there are instances where it might help a trend continue rather than the reverse. Both of the trend lines in the falling wedge are sloping downwards, with a shrinking channel signaling an impending decline. The price shows a dramatic surge upwards through the top line of the falling wedge on significant volume, while the trend lines move closer to merging. This catches investors and traders off guard, resulting in a breakout and continuing uptrend.

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A rising wedge pattern occurs when there are higher highs and higher lows. However, the support trend line tends to climb at a sharper angle than the resistance trend line. This results in a rising wedge pattern and usually indicates a possible reversal of an up-trend. In the above example you can see a continuation chart pattern. After a strong rally, price start to reverse and formed a falling wedge.

They are not guaranteed to result in price rallies or reversals. Also, for better insights, one should evaluate these patterns in conjunction with other technical indicators such as moving average, relative strength index, trading volume, etc. I will tell you, when the moon is for XRP, but first, let’s take a look at the technical analysis. On the chart, you can see two major downtrending trendlines, and the price is below them.

Moving away from BTC, in the ETH/USDT daily TradingView chart below, we can see Ethereum (ETH, Tech/Adoption Grade “A”) continuing to mirror its movements from the second half of September. Trading then and now is highlighted in the red ovals below. Crypto DictionaryUltimate dictionary for the most commonly used words in cryptocurrencies. LearnGuidesFind in-depth articles and videos designed to give you a better understanding of the crypto world. Bitcoin price is struggling to overcome a small hurdle after a fresh start to the week.

  • Trading chart patterns are an important aspect of cryptocurrency trading and have always been a vital part of forex trading.
  • LearnGuidesFind in-depth articles and videos designed to give you a better understanding of the crypto world.
  • This is a chance to retest the wedge on the breakout point at 61.76 or even lower at the trendline.
  • I have also included must follow rules and how to use the BT Dashboard.
  • The falling wedge pattern should be defined with two trend lines connecting a series of lower lows and lower highs.
  • Some analysts believe the trendlines must be ‘touched’ at least four to five times, some analysts believe volume must be used to confirm the pattern.

A falling wedge pattern, too, shows what bulls and bears are doing and what they might do next. With each successive price increase or wave upwards, volumes continue to decline, showing that market demand is waning at the price that is higher. When a bearish market is established, a rising wedge pattern is comparatively more accurate. Sometimes, what may appear to be a rising wedge pattern during a bullish trend, might in fact be a flag pattern or a pennant pattern, which takes roughly four weeks to form. A falling wedge reversal pattern is one of the technical analysis charting patterns that happens when there is a sharp decline followed by a period of consolidation.


However, with triangles, one trendline moves at a much steeper angle to meet the horizontal support or resistance line. A falling wedge reversal pattern from a significant price level provides more profits in cryptocurrency trading than in traditional markets. It is important to find the right patterns from ideal locations for this to happen. Like all other assets, crypto prices tend to move in a zigzag pattern, with swings between highs and lows. Thus, traders experience a temporary bearish correction within bullish trends, which gives rise to patterns like the wedge, triangle, flag or channel. Novice traders are prone to viewing patterns like wedges as profit-generating miracles.

The Jasmy price has been in the spotlight in the past few weeks after it went live in several exchanges, including Binance. The price did well when Binance opened it up for leveraged trading in its ecosystem. Jasmy is a relatively small cryptocurrency that was developed by former senior executives from Sony. It is a platform that is in the Internet of Things and data management industry.

crypto falling wedge

For example, he can see where the liquidity is and where people have their… New cheat sheet template on Reversal patterns and continuation patterns. I have also included must follow rules and how to use the BT Dashboard.

What is a wedge pattern?

It is more likely for the prices to drift laterally and saucer-out as they exit the precise boundary lines of the falling wedge pattern before resuming the primary trend. A wedge pattern refers to a trend of the market on an analysis chart which is often observed while trading assets, such as bonds, stocks, crypto, etc. This pattern is distinguished by a narrowing price range combined with either an upward or a downward price trend.

‘Too late to use crypto as hedge against falling pound’ says BitBoy Crypto

NFT-related cryptocurrencies are seeing a bit of a bump both in volume and appreciation. The first option is more safe as you have no guarantees whether the pull back will occur at all. On the other hand, the second option gives you an entry at a better price. ThinkMarkets ensures high levels of client satisfaction with high client retention and conversion rates. Harness the market intelligence you need to build your trading strategies.

Technical analysis is an important skill that demands clarity about trading concepts. Not all indicators and patterns work the same, and some suit certain asset classes more than others. However, wedge patterns are relatively common for cryptocurrencies and can be reliable indicators of incoming trend reversals. In an ascending wedge, the support is steeper than the resistance with higher lows, but the dynamics reverse for descending wedges which presents more prominent lower highs than lower lows. Depending on the direction, wedges can also inform analysts of either a bullish or bearish trend fatigue.

A crypto trader is more likely to succeed if they buy an asset from a logical position than randomly buying an asset without proper thought and analysis. Technical analysis can be a great way to analyze and assess the markets before making your next buying decision. A falling wedge pattern is an important technical analysis tool that traders should keep on their checklist.

BTC / USDT Chart 6hUsually, the price range of the wedge’s opening reveals the minimal price decline after the eventual downward breakout. Each of the two possible breakout movements will be followed by a much bigger volume than while the action was reaching the triangle’s peak. Therefore, traders have to keep a close eye on the north/south breakout points and act accordingly. Besides swing levels, investors must monitor the changes in volumes as well.

Connecting these swing points using trend lines results in a falling wedge. This bullish reversal formation forecasts a 21% upswing, determined by adding the distance between the first swing high and swing low to the breakout point at $0.112. The ascending triangle pattern is also very common, and it takes the form of the asset’s price repeatedly bumping up against an invisible line of resistance. Each time the price dips lower, it does so less and less . Once the breakout happens, a trader can deduce the target by drawing the parallel with the opposite side of where the breakout occurred. The most famous crypto descending triangle from recent years is the one from 2018 Bitcoin’s chart.